National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 20 agosto?
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 17%
68-69°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o superiore
1%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 17%
68-69°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
61°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$135 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$61 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$1 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
35%
74-75°F
$13 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$182 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$116 Vol.
1%
80°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$519Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$519Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a persistently warm airmass over the Northeast will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City through midweek, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling on August 20. This aligns with the market's leading bins at 70–73°F, reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal frontal influence or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings further. Above-average August temperatures, driven by regional humidity and lack of significant cool advection, support the 72% combined probability for those outcomes, while lower probabilities for sub-70°F reflect the low likelihood of unexpected model shifts or localized urban heat effects reversing the current trajectory before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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