**Trader sentiment for Karachi's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical post-monsoon nighttime cooling under stable conditions.** Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and multiple models indicate hot, humid daytime highs near 36–39°C (97–102°F) with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light west-northwesterly winds. This setup supports standard radiative cooling overnight, with minimums expected around 25–27°C (77–81°F) as dew points remain elevated near 24–25°C. Historical climatology for mid-September in Karachi shows average lows of ~26–27°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus. Recent developments reinforce this range: no active weather systems or significant cloud cover or precipitation affected the city on the 13th, unlike the low-pressure system forecast to bring light rain and thunderstorms from September 14–16. Real-time observations and hourly trends show overnight temperatures stabilizing near 26–27°C, with limited cooling potential due to high humidity and urban heat retention. Lower outcomes (≤21°C) carry low implied probability due to the absence of unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes, while higher values (>27°C) are discounted by expected nocturnal drops. Market-implied odds thus aggregate trader assessments of official PMD guidance, ensemble model runs, and historical analogs, with 25–26°C capturing the narrow uncertainty band around seasonal norms. Any final overnight station readings from Karachi International Airport or equivalent will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 13 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 75%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
24°C 10%
21°C o inferiore
75%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
42%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
21°C o inferiore 75%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
24°C 10%
21°C o inferiore
75%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
42%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical post-monsoon nighttime cooling under stable conditions.** Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and multiple models indicate hot, humid daytime highs near 36–39°C (97–102°F) with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light west-northwesterly winds. This setup supports standard radiative cooling overnight, with minimums expected around 25–27°C (77–81°F) as dew points remain elevated near 24–25°C. Historical climatology for mid-September in Karachi shows average lows of ~26–27°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model consensus. Recent developments reinforce this range: no active weather systems or significant cloud cover or precipitation affected the city on the 13th, unlike the low-pressure system forecast to bring light rain and thunderstorms from September 14–16. Real-time observations and hourly trends show overnight temperatures stabilizing near 26–27°C, with limited cooling potential due to high humidity and urban heat retention. Lower outcomes (≤21°C) carry low implied probability due to the absence of unusual cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes, while higher values (>27°C) are discounted by expected nocturnal drops. Market-implied odds thus aggregate trader assessments of official PMD guidance, ensemble model runs, and historical analogs, with 25–26°C capturing the narrow uncertainty band around seasonal norms. Any final overnight station readings from Karachi International Airport or equivalent will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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