Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Jinan on September 20 under cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher tails. The balance reflects uncertainty in short-range guidance on overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and the potential for modest shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture that could alter minimums by a few degrees. Historical September variability in the region, with occasional late-season warmth from the subtropical high, further supports trader caution ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 20 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 91%
22°C o superiore 44%
17°C 22%
18°C 22%
12°C o inferiore
91%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
44%
12°C o inferiore 91%
22°C o superiore 44%
17°C 22%
18°C 22%
12°C o inferiore
91%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Jinan on September 20 under cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet market-implied odds remain evenly split between the 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher tails. The balance reflects uncertainty in short-range guidance on overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and the potential for modest shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture that could alter minimums by a few degrees. Historical September variability in the region, with occasional late-season warmth from the subtropical high, further supports trader caution ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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