Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Houston's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, elevated dew points, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern, typical for mid-September in southeast Texas, supports the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 48% implied probability as forecasters project a minimum near 79-81°F. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance localized cooling in some areas, while heat indices near 105-109°F reflect the overall warm, humid regime. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily against historical averages around 72-75°F, with lower-probability bins for cooler outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing or clearer-sky radiational drops before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Houston il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Houston il 13 settembre?
71°F o inferiore 77%
90°F o superiore 57%
78-79°F 49%
72-73°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
77%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
17%
90°F o superiore
57%
71°F o inferiore 77%
90°F o superiore 57%
78-79°F 49%
72-73°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
71°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
77%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$178 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$139 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
17%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
17%
90°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Houston's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, elevated dew points, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern, typical for mid-September in southeast Texas, supports the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 48% implied probability as forecasters project a minimum near 79-81°F. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance localized cooling in some areas, while heat indices near 105-109°F reflect the overall warm, humid regime. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily against historical averages around 72-75°F, with lower-probability bins for cooler outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing or clearer-sky radiational drops before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$317Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Houston's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, elevated dew points, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern, typical for mid-September in southeast Texas, supports the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 48% implied probability as forecasters project a minimum near 79-81°F. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance localized cooling in some areas, while heat indices near 105-109°F reflect the overall warm, humid regime. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily against historical averages around 72-75°F, with lower-probability bins for cooler outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing or clearer-sky radiational drops before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$317Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicates Houston's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico, elevated dew points, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This pattern, typical for mid-September in southeast Texas, supports the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 48% implied probability as forecasters project a minimum near 79-81°F. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms may enhance localized cooling in some areas, while heat indices near 105-109°F reflect the overall warm, humid regime. Traders appear to weigh these official forecasts heavily against historical averages around 72-75°F, with lower-probability bins for cooler outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in storm timing or clearer-sky radiational drops before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti