Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 21 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 97%
30°C o superiore 97%
28°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
97%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
97%
20°C o inferiore 97%
30°C o superiore 97%
28°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
97%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C o superiore
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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