Recent forecast models from sources including the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and UK Met Office indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 8 will likely reach 10–12 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting radiative cooling across the Anatolian plateau. This positioning favors the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 49 % implied probability amid model uncertainty in exact minimums and potential for stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m amplifies nocturnal temperature drops compared with coastal areas, while September climatology shows average lows near 14 °C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, with any revision in guidance likely shifting trader consensus before the close of the 24-hour period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara l'8 settembre?
9°C o inferiore 49%
12°C 47%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
9°C o inferiore
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
47%
13°C
1%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C o superiore
23%
9°C o inferiore 49%
12°C 47%
14°C 47%
15°C 47%
9°C o inferiore
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
47%
13°C
1%
14°C
47%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C o superiore
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and UK Met Office indicate Ankara's overnight low on September 8 will likely reach 10–12 °C under clear skies and light northerly flow, supporting radiative cooling across the Anatolian plateau. This positioning favors the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 49 % implied probability amid model uncertainty in exact minimums and potential for stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m amplifies nocturnal temperature drops compared with coastal areas, while September climatology shows average lows near 14 °C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will determine resolution, with any revision in guidance likely shifting trader consensus before the close of the 24-hour period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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