Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Francisco l'8 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a San Francisco l'8 settembre?
68°F o superiore 71%
49°F o inferiore 67%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
67%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
49%
68°F o superiore
71%
68°F o superiore 71%
49°F o inferiore 67%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
67%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$6 Vol.
12%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
36%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
50%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$22 Vol.
49%
68°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$33Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti