Illinois's 8th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The open seat arose after longtime incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, with former Representative Melissa Bean securing the Democratic nomination in the March primary over multiple challengers. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles. Bean’s prior congressional experience and name recognition further bolster trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican wave altering suburban margins, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies that alter local dynamics before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
$20,725 Vol.
$20,725 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$20,725 Vol.
$20,725 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$9,403 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$11,322 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 8th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The open seat arose after longtime incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, with former Representative Melissa Bean securing the Democratic nomination in the March primary over multiple challengers. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles. Bean’s prior congressional experience and name recognition further bolster trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican wave altering suburban margins, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies that alter local dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$20,725Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 8th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The open seat arose after longtime incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, with former Representative Melissa Bean securing the Democratic nomination in the March primary over multiple challengers. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles. Bean’s prior congressional experience and name recognition further bolster trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican wave altering suburban margins, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies that alter local dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,725Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 8th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The open seat arose after longtime incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, with former Representative Melissa Bean securing the Democratic nomination in the March primary over multiple challengers. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Democratic voting patterns in recent cycles. Bean’s prior congressional experience and name recognition further bolster trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a national Republican wave altering suburban margins, or late developments such as candidate-specific controversies that alter local dynamics before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti