Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This follows an even hotter September 5 peak near 35°C, with the slight moderation driven by a modest shift in flow and rising humidity overnight. Early September climatology averages closer to 22–26°C, so the current setup reflects an anomalous warm spell with low precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical model biases in urban heat island effects, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Updated official guidance from Italian meteorological services and the next model cycles will be key near-term inputs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 6 settembre?
32°C 57%
31°C 38%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
38%
32°C
57%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 38%
33°C 5%
30°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$334 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,225 Vol.
38%
32°C
$1,211 Vol.
57%
33°C
$523 Vol.
5%
34°C
$247 Vol.
1%
35°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This follows an even hotter September 5 peak near 35°C, with the slight moderation driven by a modest shift in flow and rising humidity overnight. Early September climatology averages closer to 22–26°C, so the current setup reflects an anomalous warm spell with low precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical model biases in urban heat island effects, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Updated official guidance from Italian meteorological services and the next model cycles will be key near-term inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,799Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This follows an even hotter September 5 peak near 35°C, with the slight moderation driven by a modest shift in flow and rising humidity overnight. Early September climatology averages closer to 22–26°C, so the current setup reflects an anomalous warm spell with low precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical model biases in urban heat island effects, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Updated official guidance from Italian meteorological services and the next model cycles will be key near-term inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,799Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Milan on September 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong solar heating. This follows an even hotter September 5 peak near 35°C, with the slight moderation driven by a modest shift in flow and rising humidity overnight. Early September climatology averages closer to 22–26°C, so the current setup reflects an anomalous warm spell with low precipitation risk. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical model biases in urban heat island effects, with only modest probability assigned to 33°C if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Updated official guidance from Italian meteorological services and the next model cycles will be key near-term inputs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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