**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.** Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong l'11 settembre?
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
$113,339 Vol.
$113,339 Vol.
11 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
$113,339 Vol.
$113,339 Vol.
11 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$265 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$19,467 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,271 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,940 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,940 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,005 Vol.
100%
33°C
$28,058 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,661 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.**
Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$113,339Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.**
Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$113,339Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The near-certain market-implied odds on 32°C reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s finalized observation of that exact maximum temperature on September 11, 2026.** Post-event resolution data from the official daily extract established the peak reading at the Hong Kong Observatory station, consistent with regional conditions under a northeast monsoon flow that limited cloud cover and supported daytime heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Traders priced in virtually no uncertainty once the authoritative measurement was confirmed, as Polymarket contracts resolve strictly to the Observatory’s recorded absolute daily maximum. Only an unforeseen data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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