Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 17 agosto?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$145,830 Vol.
$145,830 Vol.
17 ago 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$145,830 Vol.
$145,830 Vol.
17 ago 2026
23°C or below
$16,339 Vol.
No
24°C
$18,340 Vol.
No
25°C
$21,680 Vol.
No
26°C
$36,527 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,839 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$6,372 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,242 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,658 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,421 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,573 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$5,838 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$145,830Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$145,830Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on August 17, reflecting increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions, typical of post-peak summer monsoon influences in the Sichuan basin, align with observed surface observations and ensemble guidance showing limited diurnal temperature range. Trader consensus at 100% on 27°C reflects this model agreement and skin-in-the-game assessment of low uncertainty. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts radiative heating or measurement revisions from urban heat-island effects, though current data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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