Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending current funding levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 fiscal year-end. House passage in July and subsequent Senate negotiations led by Appropriations Committee leaders have prioritized avoiding an election-year lapse, with both chambers signaling broad support for the stopgap measure absent contentious policy riders. This early bipartisan action, aimed at maintaining government operations amid narrow majorities and upcoming midterms, underpins traders' strong expectation that full-year appropriations or another temporary extension will prevent any lapse on October 1.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli stanziamenti federali scadono il 1° ottobre?
Gli stanziamenti federali scadono il 1° ottobre?
12% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
12% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ott 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending current funding levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 fiscal year-end. House passage in July and subsequent Senate negotiations led by Appropriations Committee leaders have prioritized avoiding an election-year lapse, with both chambers signaling broad support for the stopgap measure absent contentious policy riders. This early bipartisan action, aimed at maintaining government operations amid narrow majorities and upcoming midterms, underpins traders' strong expectation that full-year appropriations or another temporary extension will prevent any lapse on October 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,340Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending current funding levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 fiscal year-end. House passage in July and subsequent Senate negotiations led by Appropriations Committee leaders have prioritized avoiding an election-year lapse, with both chambers signaling broad support for the stopgap measure absent contentious policy riders. This early bipartisan action, aimed at maintaining government operations amid narrow majorities and upcoming midterms, underpins traders' strong expectation that full-year appropriations or another temporary extension will prevent any lapse on October 1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,340Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional leaders have advanced a clean continuing resolution extending current funding levels through early December 2026, well past the September 30 fiscal year-end. House passage in July and subsequent Senate negotiations led by Appropriations Committee leaders have prioritized avoiding an election-year lapse, with both chambers signaling broad support for the stopgap measure absent contentious policy riders. This early bipartisan action, aimed at maintaining government operations amid narrow majorities and upcoming midterms, underpins traders' strong expectation that full-year appropriations or another temporary extension will prevent any lapse on October 1.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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