Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,027,257 Vol.
$1,027,257 Vol.
29 lug 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Sì
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,027,257 Vol.
$1,027,257 Vol.
29 lug 2026
<40
$172,225 Vol.
No
40-64
$265,702 Vol.
No
65-89
$240,272 Vol.
Sì
90-114
$184,277 Vol.
No
115-139
$87,054 Vol.
No
140-164
$24,702 Vol.
No
165-189
$40,070 Vol.
No
190-214
$7,944 Vol.
No
215-239
$2,684 Vol.
No
240+
$2,327 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,027,257Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,027,257Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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