**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market centers on the 40-64 bracket (52.5% implied probability) because the three-day window spans a holiday weekend when his posting pace typically moderates.** Recent trackers show daily averages of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts, with weekend figures often falling to the low 20s or below, producing totals squarely in the favored range absent a major news catalyst. Comparable short windows, including the just-resolved Aug 27–29 period, settled in the same bucket as activity remained steady but unspectacular around AI compute, Starship updates, and routine platform commentary. Higher brackets above 65 carry sharply lower odds because no political flashpoint, product launch, or regulatory controversy is currently driving the elevated volumes seen in busier stretches earlier this month. The market therefore prices in continued moderate engagement through Labor Day rather than a surge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 53%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
<40
21%
40-64
53%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
<40
$384 Vol.
21%
40-64
$2,505 Vol.
53%
65-89
$978 Vol.
23%
90-114
$277 Vol.
5%
115-139
$636 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,508 Vol.
1%
165-189
$1,166 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$226 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$226 Vol.
<1%
240+
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market centers on the 40-64 bracket (52.5% implied probability) because the three-day window spans a holiday weekend when his posting pace typically moderates.** Recent trackers show daily averages of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts, with weekend figures often falling to the low 20s or below, producing totals squarely in the favored range absent a major news catalyst. Comparable short windows, including the just-resolved Aug 27–29 period, settled in the same bucket as activity remained steady but unspectacular around AI compute, Starship updates, and routine platform commentary. Higher brackets above 65 carry sharply lower odds because no political flashpoint, product launch, or regulatory controversy is currently driving the elevated volumes seen in busier stretches earlier this month. The market therefore prices in continued moderate engagement through Labor Day rather than a surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$8,111Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market centers on the 40-64 bracket (52.5% implied probability) because the three-day window spans a holiday weekend when his posting pace typically moderates.** Recent trackers show daily averages of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts, with weekend figures often falling to the low 20s or below, producing totals squarely in the favored range absent a major news catalyst. Comparable short windows, including the just-resolved Aug 27–29 period, settled in the same bucket as activity remained steady but unspectacular around AI compute, Starship updates, and routine platform commentary. Higher brackets above 65 carry sharply lower odds because no political flashpoint, product launch, or regulatory controversy is currently driving the elevated volumes seen in busier stretches earlier this month. The market therefore prices in continued moderate engagement through Labor Day rather than a surge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,111Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Elon Musk tweet-count market centers on the 40-64 bracket (52.5% implied probability) because the three-day window spans a holiday weekend when his posting pace typically moderates.** Recent trackers show daily averages of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts, with weekend figures often falling to the low 20s or below, producing totals squarely in the favored range absent a major news catalyst. Comparable short windows, including the just-resolved Aug 27–29 period, settled in the same bucket as activity remained steady but unspectacular around AI compute, Starship updates, and routine platform commentary. Higher brackets above 65 carry sharply lower odds because no political flashpoint, product launch, or regulatory controversy is currently driving the elevated volumes seen in busier stretches earlier this month. The market therefore prices in continued moderate engagement through Labor Day rather than a surge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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