Elon Musk's X activity typically ranges from moderate to high-volume posting depending on news cycles, product updates, and personal engagement, which explains why traders have clustered around the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet buckets for the August 1-3 window. The close 39% to 31.5% split reflects uncertainty over whether a quiet early-August stretch or an unexpected catalyst will push totals higher, as Musk's pace often accelerates with Tesla or SpaceX developments, political commentary, or viral threads. Historical patterns show weekend dips offset by bursts tied to real-time events, while the long tail on 90-plus outcomes captures the risk of a sudden surge in replies or memes. Key differentiators include any breaking industry announcements or platform-driven engagement that could tip the three-day total across the 65 threshold before the window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato40-64 39%
65-89 32%
90-114 14.0%
<40 14%
NUOVO
$51,009 Vol.
NUOVO
$51,009 Vol.
3 ago 2026
<40
14%
40-64
39%
65-89
32%
90-114
14%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 39%
65-89 32%
90-114 14.0%
<40 14%
NUOVO
$51,009 Vol.
NUOVO
$51,009 Vol.
3 ago 2026
<40
$4,203 Vol.
14%
40-64
$5,519 Vol.
39%
65-89
$2,441 Vol.
32%
90-114
$3,513 Vol.
14%
115-139
$3,394 Vol.
3%
140-164
$4,865 Vol.
1%
165-189
$6,808 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,487 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$6,518 Vol.
<1%
240+
$7,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's X activity typically ranges from moderate to high-volume posting depending on news cycles, product updates, and personal engagement, which explains why traders have clustered around the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet buckets for the August 1-3 window. The close 39% to 31.5% split reflects uncertainty over whether a quiet early-August stretch or an unexpected catalyst will push totals higher, as Musk's pace often accelerates with Tesla or SpaceX developments, political commentary, or viral threads. Historical patterns show weekend dips offset by bursts tied to real-time events, while the long tail on 90-plus outcomes captures the risk of a sudden surge in replies or memes. Key differentiators include any breaking industry announcements or platform-driven engagement that could tip the three-day total across the 65 threshold before the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$51,009Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's X activity typically ranges from moderate to high-volume posting depending on news cycles, product updates, and personal engagement, which explains why traders have clustered around the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet buckets for the August 1-3 window. The close 39% to 31.5% split reflects uncertainty over whether a quiet early-August stretch or an unexpected catalyst will push totals higher, as Musk's pace often accelerates with Tesla or SpaceX developments, political commentary, or viral threads. Historical patterns show weekend dips offset by bursts tied to real-time events, while the long tail on 90-plus outcomes captures the risk of a sudden surge in replies or memes. Key differentiators include any breaking industry announcements or platform-driven engagement that could tip the three-day total across the 65 threshold before the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 1 12:00 PM ET to August 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$51,009Data di fine
3 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's X activity typically ranges from moderate to high-volume posting depending on news cycles, product updates, and personal engagement, which explains why traders have clustered around the 40-64 and 65-89 tweet buckets for the August 1-3 window. The close 39% to 31.5% split reflects uncertainty over whether a quiet early-August stretch or an unexpected catalyst will push totals higher, as Musk's pace often accelerates with Tesla or SpaceX developments, political commentary, or viral threads. Historical patterns show weekend dips offset by bursts tied to real-time events, while the long tail on 90-plus outcomes captures the risk of a sudden surge in replies or memes. Key differentiators include any breaking industry announcements or platform-driven engagement that could tip the three-day total across the 65 threshold before the window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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