Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a buzzy horror-comedy newcomer has propelled it to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by 19 Emmy nominations, strong critical reception, and word-of-mouth growth following its spring premiere on Apple TV+. Its late eligibility window and fresh industry narrative have shifted trader sentiment ahead of final voting, positioning the Matthew Rhys-led series well against returning contenders. Hacks maintains a solid 33.8% implied probability thanks to its record 24 nominations in a farewell season, prior win, and guild recognition, though recent precursor buzz and voter fatigue have tempered its lead. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary and Shrinking trail far behind with minimal market movement, underscoring how Widow’s Bay’s surge has narrowed the race ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: Miglior serie comica
Emmy 2026: Miglior serie comica
"Widow’s Bay" 67%
"Hacks" 33.8%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
“The Bear” <1%
$83,702 Vol.
$83,702 Vol.
14 set 2026
"Widow’s Bay"
67%
"Hacks"
34%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
1%
“The Bear”
1%
“Shrinking”
1%
“Abbott Elementary”
1%
“Nessuno lo vuole”
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
<1%
"Widow’s Bay" 67%
"Hacks" 33.8%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles” <1%
“The Bear” <1%
$83,702 Vol.
$83,702 Vol.
14 set 2026
"Widow’s Bay"
$31,137 Vol.
67%
"Hacks"
$16,676 Vol.
34%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$5,504 Vol.
1%
“The Bear”
$6,716 Vol.
1%
“Shrinking”
$5,840 Vol.
1%
“Abbott Elementary”
$5,525 Vol.
1%
“Nessuno lo vuole”
$6,896 Vol.
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
$5,409 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a buzzy horror-comedy newcomer has propelled it to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by 19 Emmy nominations, strong critical reception, and word-of-mouth growth following its spring premiere on Apple TV+. Its late eligibility window and fresh industry narrative have shifted trader sentiment ahead of final voting, positioning the Matthew Rhys-led series well against returning contenders. Hacks maintains a solid 33.8% implied probability thanks to its record 24 nominations in a farewell season, prior win, and guild recognition, though recent precursor buzz and voter fatigue have tempered its lead. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary and Shrinking trail far behind with minimal market movement, underscoring how Widow’s Bay’s surge has narrowed the race ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$83,702Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a buzzy horror-comedy newcomer has propelled it to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by 19 Emmy nominations, strong critical reception, and word-of-mouth growth following its spring premiere on Apple TV+. Its late eligibility window and fresh industry narrative have shifted trader sentiment ahead of final voting, positioning the Matthew Rhys-led series well against returning contenders. Hacks maintains a solid 33.8% implied probability thanks to its record 24 nominations in a farewell season, prior win, and guild recognition, though recent precursor buzz and voter fatigue have tempered its lead. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary and Shrinking trail far behind with minimal market movement, underscoring how Widow’s Bay’s surge has narrowed the race ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,702Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Widow’s Bay’s breakout momentum as a buzzy horror-comedy newcomer has propelled it to frontrunner status in the Outstanding Comedy Series market, fueled by 19 Emmy nominations, strong critical reception, and word-of-mouth growth following its spring premiere on Apple TV+. Its late eligibility window and fresh industry narrative have shifted trader sentiment ahead of final voting, positioning the Matthew Rhys-led series well against returning contenders. Hacks maintains a solid 33.8% implied probability thanks to its record 24 nominations in a farewell season, prior win, and guild recognition, though recent precursor buzz and voter fatigue have tempered its lead. Other nominees like Abbott Elementary and Shrinking trail far behind with minimal market movement, underscoring how Widow’s Bay’s surge has narrowed the race ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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