Skip to main content
icon for I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?

I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?

icon for I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?

I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?

9% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

9% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s Truth API service was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and the Freedom of the Press Foundation.** The complaint alleges that the paid early-access feed—launched August 1 and charging up to $100,000 per month for priority access to President Trump’s posts and other high-profile accounts—violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to official announcements. It seeks declaratory and injunctive relief to halt the arrangement. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Legal proceedings in federal district court typically require weeks or months to reach a preliminary injunction decision, and the October 31 deadline leaves limited time for full briefing, argument, and any appeal. The service continues to operate with reported subscribers, and the company has publicly defended it as a standard data-feed product. Traders price the low probability of a court-ordered block by the deadline on the combination of procedural timelines, the absence of emergency relief to date, and the early posture of litigation that does not yet signal an imminent adverse outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100
Data di fine
31 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**A federal lawsuit challenging Truth Social’s Truth API service was filed on August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and the Freedom of the Press Foundation.** The complaint alleges that the paid early-access feed—launched August 1 and charging up to $100,000 per month for priority access to President Trump’s posts and other high-profile accounts—violates the First Amendment by granting unequal access to official announcements. It seeks declaratory and injunctive relief to halt the arrangement. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or rulings issued as of late August. Legal proceedings in federal district court typically require weeks or months to reach a preliminary injunction decision, and the October 31 deadline leaves limited time for full briefing, argument, and any appeal. The service continues to operate with reported subscribers, and the company has publicly defended it as a standard data-feed product. Traders price the low probability of a court-ordered block by the deadline on the combination of procedural timelines, the absence of emergency relief to date, and the early posture of litigation that does not yet signal an imminent adverse outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100
Data di fine
31 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "I tribunali bloccano il piano di Trump per l’accesso anticipato a Truth Social da 100.000 dollari entro il 31 ottobre?" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 9¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 9% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 25, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?" è "I tribunali bloccano il piano di Trump per l’accesso anticipato a Truth Social da 100.000 dollari entro il 31 ottobre?" a solo 9%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "I tribunali bloccano il piano di accesso anticipato Truth Social da $100.000 di Trump entro il 31 ottobre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.