USDA APHIS has confirmed dozens of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations in U.S. livestock and companion animals since the first detection on June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with subsequent cases extending into New Mexico. Official surveillance data through late July show 37 domestically acquired animal cases across two states, concentrated near the southern border, while CDC reports zero U.S.-acquired human infestations and very low public risk. The parasite’s larval stage burrows into living tissue, prompting rapid sterile-insect releases and movement restrictions; traders watch APHIS dashboard updates and state veterinary reports for new county-level confirmations that could shift implied probabilities on spread beyond Texas before resolution deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoConfermato il caso Screwworm negli Stati Uniti in Bestiame oltre il Texas da...
Confermato il caso Screwworm negli Stati Uniti in Bestiame oltre il Texas da...
NUOVO
30 agosto
36%
31 ottobre
46%
31 dicembre
55%
$4,347 Vol.
30 agosto
$1,307 Vol.
36%
31 ottobre
$491 Vol.
46%
31 dicembre
$415 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.USDA APHIS has confirmed dozens of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations in U.S. livestock and companion animals since the first detection on June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with subsequent cases extending into New Mexico. Official surveillance data through late July show 37 domestically acquired animal cases across two states, concentrated near the southern border, while CDC reports zero U.S.-acquired human infestations and very low public risk. The parasite’s larval stage burrows into living tissue, prompting rapid sterile-insect releases and movement restrictions; traders watch APHIS dashboard updates and state veterinary reports for new county-level confirmations that could shift implied probabilities on spread beyond Texas before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Volume
$4,347Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.USDA APHIS has confirmed dozens of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations in U.S. livestock and companion animals since the first detection on June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with subsequent cases extending into New Mexico. Official surveillance data through late July show 37 domestically acquired animal cases across two states, concentrated near the southern border, while CDC reports zero U.S.-acquired human infestations and very low public risk. The parasite’s larval stage burrows into living tissue, prompting rapid sterile-insect releases and movement restrictions; traders watch APHIS dashboard updates and state veterinary reports for new county-level confirmations that could shift implied probabilities on spread beyond Texas before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$4,347Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...USDA APHIS has confirmed dozens of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations in U.S. livestock and companion animals since the first detection on June 3, 2026, in a Zavala County, Texas calf, with subsequent cases extending into New Mexico. Official surveillance data through late July show 37 domestically acquired animal cases across two states, concentrated near the southern border, while CDC reports zero U.S.-acquired human infestations and very low public risk. The parasite’s larval stage burrows into living tissue, prompting rapid sterile-insect releases and movement restrictions; traders watch APHIS dashboard updates and state veterinary reports for new county-level confirmations that could shift implied probabilities on spread beyond Texas before resolution deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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