Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà il 10 agosto?
Dove pioverà il 10 agosto?
Singapore
50%
Giacarta
50%
Mumbai
51%
Manila
51%
Tokyo
51%
Lagos
50%
Bangkok
51%
Hong Kong
50%
Seoul (Incheon)
51%
Taipei
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
50%
London
50%
Dubai
50%
San Paolo
51%
Sydney
49%
$0.00 Vol.
Singapore
50%
Giacarta
50%
Mumbai
51%
Manila
51%
Tokyo
51%
Lagos
50%
Bangkok
51%
Hong Kong
50%
Seoul (Incheon)
51%
Taipei
50%
Colombo
50%
Dhaka
50%
Kuala Lumpur
50%
London
50%
Dubai
50%
San Paolo
51%
Sydney
49%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the Weather Underground station page for the city.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
Fonte di risoluzione
www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for rain on August 10 centers on short-range model guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory, Japan Meteorological Agency, and INMET for cities such as Bangkok, Hong Kong, São Paulo, and Tokyo. Summer monsoon moisture and diurnal convection drive elevated probabilities in Southeast Asia, where ensemble runs show scattered showers with 40-60% chances tied to weak steering flows. In contrast, subtropical high pressure favors drier conditions farther east or south. Key upcoming inputs include the 00Z and 12Z GFS/ECMWF updates on August 8-9, which refine precipitation thresholds at official gauges. Convective uncertainty remains high, as small track shifts can alter measurable accumulation (>0.1 mm or local equivalents) by resolution time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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