Die Linke leads recent Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus polls at 20–23 percent, narrowly ahead of the CDU at 20–21 percent, with the AfD at 17–18 percent, the Greens at 16 percent, and the SPD at 10–12 percent, positioning it as the consensus frontrunner five days before the 20 September vote. This reflects gains for the party’s candidate Elif Eralp amid voter frustration with the incumbent CDU–SPD coalition’s record on security, housing, and public order, following the withdrawal of governing mayor Kai Wegner as CDU lead candidate after criticism of his handling of a major power-grid incident. No two-party combination reaches a majority in current surveys, raising the prospect of three-party coalitions such as Linke–Greens–SPD, while the AfD remains isolated despite its support. Traders appear to price the Linke’s narrow polling edge and momentum as the strongest path to the most seats in a fragmented field.

Sep 13 2026

Berlin election campaign intensifies with public candidate events

Events such as the Morgenpost election brunch and public debates engaged voters directly in the final week before the election, potentially influencing last-minute voter decisions and turnout.

Sep 12 2026

Polls show Die Linke leading Berlin election with 21-23% support

Linke rises to 63%3%

Final polls in early September showed Die Linke holding a narrow lead over CDU and AfD, reflecting a fragmented political landscape. This polling surge was mirrored in market prices, indicating strong expectations for Die Linke to win the most seats.

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