The Bank of Russia’s recent decision to hold its key rate at 14% on September 11 after ten straight cuts has anchored trader expectations for October, with persistent pro-inflationary pressures from fuel supply disruptions and elevated underlying price growth at 5–6% annualized outweighing calls for further easing. Annual inflation reached 6.3% amid refinery capacity constraints and second-round effects, while moderate economic growth and a narrowing budget deficit have reduced immediate demand for stimulus ahead of the October 23 meeting. Market pricing reflects caution around fiscal plans and external risks, favoring no change as the baseline while leaving room for a modest cut if disinflation resumes and one-off factors fade.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNo Change 59%
Decrease 40%
Increase 4.0%
$16,723 Vol.
$16,723 Vol.
23 ott 2026
Decrease
40%
No Change
59%
Increase
4%
No Change 59%
Decrease 40%
Increase 4.0%
$16,723 Vol.
$16,723 Vol.
23 ott 2026
Decrease
$5,234 Vol.
40%
No Change
$4,886 Vol.
59%
Increase
$6,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s recent decision to hold its key rate at 14% on September 11 after ten straight cuts has anchored trader expectations for October, with persistent pro-inflationary pressures from fuel supply disruptions and elevated underlying price growth at 5–6% annualized outweighing calls for further easing. Annual inflation reached 6.3% amid refinery capacity constraints and second-round effects, while moderate economic growth and a narrowing budget deficit have reduced immediate demand for stimulus ahead of the October 23 meeting. Market pricing reflects caution around fiscal plans and external risks, favoring no change as the baseline while leaving room for a modest cut if disinflation resumes and one-off factors fade.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$16,723Data di fine
23 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Bank of Russia’s recent decision to hold its key rate at 14% on September 11 after ten straight cuts has anchored trader expectations for October, with persistent pro-inflationary pressures from fuel supply disruptions and elevated underlying price growth at 5–6% annualized outweighing calls for further easing. Annual inflation reached 6.3% amid refinery capacity constraints and second-round effects, while moderate economic growth and a narrowing budget deficit have reduced immediate demand for stimulus ahead of the October 23 meeting. Market pricing reflects caution around fiscal plans and external risks, favoring no change as the baseline while leaving room for a modest cut if disinflation resumes and one-off factors fade.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$16,723Data di fine
23 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s recent decision to hold its key rate at 14% on September 11 after ten straight cuts has anchored trader expectations for October, with persistent pro-inflationary pressures from fuel supply disruptions and elevated underlying price growth at 5–6% annualized outweighing calls for further easing. Annual inflation reached 6.3% amid refinery capacity constraints and second-round effects, while moderate economic growth and a narrowing budget deficit have reduced immediate demand for stimulus ahead of the October 23 meeting. Market pricing reflects caution around fiscal plans and external risks, favoring no change as the baseline while leaving room for a modest cut if disinflation resumes and one-off factors fade.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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