Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiByteDance 61%
Anthropic 34%
Microsoft 33%
StepFun 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
ByteDance
61%
Anthropic
34%
Microsoft
33%
StepFun
29%
Mistral
21%
Alibaba
18%
Nvidia
17%
16%
SpaceXAI
16%
Z.ai
14%
Thinky
14%
OpenAI
19%
Moonshot
6%
Baidu
5%
Amazon
5%
MiniMax
5%
Meta
5%
DeepSeek
5%
Meituan
5%
Xiaomi
4%
Tencent
1%
ByteDance 61%
Anthropic 34%
Microsoft 33%
StepFun 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
ByteDance
$54 Vol.
61%
Anthropic
$52 Vol.
34%
Microsoft
$72 Vol.
33%
StepFun
$72 Vol.
29%
Mistral
$52 Vol.
21%
Alibaba
$52 Vol.
18%
Nvidia
$52 Vol.
17%
$52 Vol.
16%
SpaceXAI
$52 Vol.
16%
Z.ai
$52 Vol.
14%
Thinky
$72 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$63 Vol.
19%
Moonshot
$52 Vol.
6%
Baidu
$52 Vol.
5%
Amazon
$53 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$53 Vol.
5%
Meta
$52 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$52 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$52 Vol.
5%
Xiaomi
$44 Vol.
4%
Tencent
$76 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$1,189Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,189Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight race for the top LiveBench mathematics score by end-September 2026, with Anthropic holding the highest implied odds at 33.5% amid strong recent Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 results that leverage high-effort thinking modes to reach 95%+ on math subsets. OpenAI follows at 24.5%, buoyed by GPT-5.5/5.6 variants demonstrating comparable gains through iterative scaling and specialized reasoning chains. Other labs including Mistral, Google, and Tencent trail as frontier models from the leading two continue to trade incremental benchmark edges through post-training refinements and test-time compute. Key swing factors include any new official releases or capability jumps before the September cutoff, as LiveBench’s monthly fresh questions reward models that sustain math leadership without contamination.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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