Ongoing U.S.-Russia diplomacy through envoys, including the September 5 Moscow meeting between Vladimir Putin and Trump representatives Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, has kept bilateral summit prospects active amid Ukraine peace efforts. Kremlin comments on a possible trilateral with Xi Jinping at the November APEC summit in Shenzhen have elevated China as the leading venue in trader assessments. Persistent uncertainty over timelines, with no confirmed dates for a direct Trump-Putin encounter and stalled progress on core issues like territorial control, sustains substantial probability for no meeting by year-end. Low odds on alternatives such as the United States or Russia reflect limited signals of host preferences or immediate breakthroughs, while the close split between China and no-meeting outcomes underscores how incremental diplomatic steps or delays could shift consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 51%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.6%
$882,366 Vol.
$882,366 Vol.

China
51%

No meeting by December 31
43%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
China 51%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.6%
$882,366 Vol.
$882,366 Vol.

China
51%

No meeting by December 31
43%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing U.S.-Russia diplomacy through envoys, including the September 5 Moscow meeting between Vladimir Putin and Trump representatives Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, has kept bilateral summit prospects active amid Ukraine peace efforts. Kremlin comments on a possible trilateral with Xi Jinping at the November APEC summit in Shenzhen have elevated China as the leading venue in trader assessments. Persistent uncertainty over timelines, with no confirmed dates for a direct Trump-Putin encounter and stalled progress on core issues like territorial control, sustains substantial probability for no meeting by year-end. Low odds on alternatives such as the United States or Russia reflect limited signals of host preferences or immediate breakthroughs, while the close split between China and no-meeting outcomes underscores how incremental diplomatic steps or delays could shift consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan