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Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

$419K - $426K 35.7%

$426K - $433K 33.0%

<$419K 30.2%

$433K - $440K 6%

Polymarket

$26,285 Vol.

$419K - $426K 35.7%

$426K - $433K 33.0%

<$419K 30.2%

$433K - $440K 6%

Polymarket

$26,285 Vol.

<$419K

$3,669 Vol.

30%

$419K - $426K

$7,847 Vol.

36%

$426K - $433K

$4,063 Vol.

34%

$433K - $440K

$6,513 Vol.

6%

$440K - $447K

$840 Vol.

3%

$447K - $454K

$2,822 Vol.

1%

$454K+

$532 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Trader sentiment on US median home values as of September 30 reflects significant uncertainty amid evolving monetary policy and housing market dynamics. With probabilities evenly distributed across multiple price bands, market-implied odds indicate traders are pricing in a range of outcomes dependent on interest rate paths and economic indicators. Recent inflation data and labor market reports have kept expectations fluid, while mortgage rates tied to Treasury yields continue to influence affordability and transaction volumes. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and housing market releases, which could clarify whether values stabilize near current levels or shift based on broader economic conditions. The balanced odds highlight the sensitivity to new data releases in the coming months.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volume
$26,285
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Trader sentiment on US median home values as of September 30 reflects significant uncertainty amid evolving monetary policy and housing market dynamics. With probabilities evenly distributed across multiple price bands, market-implied odds indicate traders are pricing in a range of outcomes dependent on interest rate paths and economic indicators. Recent inflation data and labor market reports have kept expectations fluid, while mortgage rates tied to Treasury yields continue to influence affordability and transaction volumes. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting and housing market releases, which could clarify whether values stabilize near current levels or shift based on broader economic conditions. The balanced odds highlight the sensitivity to new data releases in the coming months.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volume
$26,285
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "$419K - $426K" di 36%, diikuti oleh "$426K - $433K" di 34%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 36¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" telah menghasilkan $26.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" adalah "$419K - $426K" di 36%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$426K - $433K" di 34%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.