Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

<$446K 87%

$446K - $454K 5.1%

$454K - $462K 5.0%

$470K - $478K 3.5%

Polymarket

$93,728 Vol.

<$446K 87%

$446K - $454K 5.1%

$454K - $462K 5.0%

$470K - $478K 3.5%

Polymarket

$93,728 Vol.

<$446K

$35,099 Vol.

87%

$446K - $454K

$16,894 Vol.

5%

$454K - $462K

$7,675 Vol.

5%

$462K - $470K

$6,093 Vol.

1%

$470K - $478K

$12,821 Vol.

3%

$478K - $486K

$5,189 Vol.

1%

$486K+

$9,957 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Volume
$93,728
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and mortgage rates near 6.5–7% remain the dominant forces anchoring Austin metro median home values near recent levels.** August 2026 Realtor.com data placed median listing prices at $450,000, down nearly 10% year-over-year, while Unlock MLS reported a July median sale price of $435,000. Persistent supply—5+ months of inventory, widespread price cuts, and 12,000-plus active listings—continues to outpace absorption despite solid job growth and net migration. With only three weeks until September 30 resolution and no major near-term catalysts, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes below $446,000 as trader consensus reflects the ongoing correction from the 2022 peak.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Volume
$93,728
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?

83%
icon for Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?

39%
icon for Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?

45%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<$446K" di 87%, diikuti oleh "$446K - $454K" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 87¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?" telah menghasilkan $93.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?" adalah "<$446K" di 87%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$446K - $454K" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.