OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations, with the company’s confidential IPO filing in June and ongoing internal debate over 2026 versus 2027 timing creating a wide distribution of implied probabilities across $1–2 trillion buckets. Strong revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet persistent losses—reported near $1.22 per dollar of revenue in Q1 2026—highlight execution risks around compute costs and the path to sustained profitability that could compress or expand the IPO price. Competitive positioning against Anthropic and hyperscalers, plus potential shifts in tech multiples tied to interest rates and AI adoption metrics, remain key swing factors. The spread in current odds reflects uncertainty over whether OpenAI can command a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation or face pressure to list earlier at a lower multiple.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1.25T–$1.5T 22.6%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,224 Vol.
$62,224 Vol.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
4%
$2.5T+
6%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.6%
$1.0T–$1.25T 20%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,224 Vol.
$62,224 Vol.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
$4,390 Vol.
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$7,129 Vol.
20%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$4,857 Vol.
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$3,395 Vol.
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$9,788 Vol.
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,998 Vol.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 Vol.
4%
$2.5T+
$28,712 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations, with the company’s confidential IPO filing in June and ongoing internal debate over 2026 versus 2027 timing creating a wide distribution of implied probabilities across $1–2 trillion buckets. Strong revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet persistent losses—reported near $1.22 per dollar of revenue in Q1 2026—highlight execution risks around compute costs and the path to sustained profitability that could compress or expand the IPO price. Competitive positioning against Anthropic and hyperscalers, plus potential shifts in tech multiples tied to interest rates and AI adoption metrics, remain key swing factors. The spread in current odds reflects uncertainty over whether OpenAI can command a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation or face pressure to list earlier at a lower multiple.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$62,224Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations, with the company’s confidential IPO filing in June and ongoing internal debate over 2026 versus 2027 timing creating a wide distribution of implied probabilities across $1–2 trillion buckets. Strong revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet persistent losses—reported near $1.22 per dollar of revenue in Q1 2026—highlight execution risks around compute costs and the path to sustained profitability that could compress or expand the IPO price. Competitive positioning against Anthropic and hyperscalers, plus potential shifts in tech multiples tied to interest rates and AI adoption metrics, remain key swing factors. The spread in current odds reflects uncertainty over whether OpenAI can command a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation or face pressure to list earlier at a lower multiple.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,224Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchors trader expectations, with the company’s confidential IPO filing in June and ongoing internal debate over 2026 versus 2027 timing creating a wide distribution of implied probabilities across $1–2 trillion buckets. Strong revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet persistent losses—reported near $1.22 per dollar of revenue in Q1 2026—highlight execution risks around compute costs and the path to sustained profitability that could compress or expand the IPO price. Competitive positioning against Anthropic and hyperscalers, plus potential shifts in tech multiples tied to interest rates and AI adoption metrics, remain key swing factors. The spread in current odds reflects uncertainty over whether OpenAI can command a $1 trillion-plus debut valuation or face pressure to list earlier at a lower multiple.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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