OpenAI's IPO raise market reflects uncertainty around timing and scale amid its March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.9%) to a raise below $30 billion, driven by reports of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 filing, ongoing nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring needs, and persistent unprofitability despite $2 billion monthly revenue. Higher brackets such as $80–90 billion (28.1%) price in scenarios with $1 trillion-plus valuation targets and infrastructure demands. Key upcoming catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates, further funding rounds, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech IPO windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 40.9%
$80B–$90B 27.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
41%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
28%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
15%
<$30B 40.9%
$80B–$90B 27.9%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$100B+ 17%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
$476 Vol.
41%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
23%
$50B–$60B
$825 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
28%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
4%
$100B+
$637 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's IPO raise market reflects uncertainty around timing and scale amid its March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.9%) to a raise below $30 billion, driven by reports of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 filing, ongoing nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring needs, and persistent unprofitability despite $2 billion monthly revenue. Higher brackets such as $80–90 billion (28.1%) price in scenarios with $1 trillion-plus valuation targets and infrastructure demands. Key upcoming catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates, further funding rounds, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech IPO windows.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$5,761Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's IPO raise market reflects uncertainty around timing and scale amid its March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.9%) to a raise below $30 billion, driven by reports of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 filing, ongoing nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring needs, and persistent unprofitability despite $2 billion monthly revenue. Higher brackets such as $80–90 billion (28.1%) price in scenarios with $1 trillion-plus valuation targets and infrastructure demands. Key upcoming catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates, further funding rounds, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech IPO windows.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,761Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's IPO raise market reflects uncertainty around timing and scale amid its March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.9%) to a raise below $30 billion, driven by reports of a potential 2027 debut rather than late-2026 filing, ongoing nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring needs, and persistent unprofitability despite $2 billion monthly revenue. Higher brackets such as $80–90 billion (28.1%) price in scenarios with $1 trillion-plus valuation targets and infrastructure demands. Key upcoming catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates, further funding rounds, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech IPO windows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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