Ursula von der Leyen began her second five-year term as European Commission President on 1 December 2024 after European Parliament confirmation in July 2024, with the mandate structured to run through the 2029 elections. Official EU records and her ongoing schedule of engagements, including addresses at the February 2026 Munich Security Conference and other diplomatic events into mid-2026, show no procedural moves toward removal or resignation. Trader consensus at 95.3% for “No” reflects this institutional stability and absence of major parliamentary opposition or qualifying events. Late shifts could still arise from unforeseen health issues, coalition realignments in the Parliament, or a major scandal prompting voluntary departure before year-end.