AfD leads polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of its September 6 vote, with support near 40 percent against roughly 23 percent for the CDU, positioning the party to secure the most seats and potentially an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys place AfD at 35-38 percent, ahead of the SPD, supporting expectations of another first-place finish on September 20. Berlin’s September 20 contest remains more fragmented, with AfD polling around 18 percent behind the CDU, Left, and Greens. These patterns align with trader consensus favoring AfD topping two of the three state parliaments, driven by sustained eastern support and limited coalition options for mainstream parties under the firewall policy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2 74%
1 15.3%
3 12.3%
0 <1%
$110,536 Vol.
$110,536 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
<1%
1
15%
2
74%
3
12%
2 74%
1 15.3%
3 12.3%
0 <1%
$110,536 Vol.
$110,536 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$13,995 Vol.
<1%
1
$22,474 Vol.
15%
2
$46,787 Vol.
74%
3
$27,281 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of its September 6 vote, with support near 40 percent against roughly 23 percent for the CDU, positioning the party to secure the most seats and potentially an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys place AfD at 35-38 percent, ahead of the SPD, supporting expectations of another first-place finish on September 20. Berlin’s September 20 contest remains more fragmented, with AfD polling around 18 percent behind the CDU, Left, and Greens. These patterns align with trader consensus favoring AfD topping two of the three state parliaments, driven by sustained eastern support and limited coalition options for mainstream parties under the firewall policy.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$110,536Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of its September 6 vote, with support near 40 percent against roughly 23 percent for the CDU, positioning the party to secure the most seats and potentially an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys place AfD at 35-38 percent, ahead of the SPD, supporting expectations of another first-place finish on September 20. Berlin’s September 20 contest remains more fragmented, with AfD polling around 18 percent behind the CDU, Left, and Greens. These patterns align with trader consensus favoring AfD topping two of the three state parliaments, driven by sustained eastern support and limited coalition options for mainstream parties under the firewall policy.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Volume
$110,536Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...AfD leads polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of its September 6 vote, with support near 40 percent against roughly 23 percent for the CDU, positioning the party to secure the most seats and potentially an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys place AfD at 35-38 percent, ahead of the SPD, supporting expectations of another first-place finish on September 20. Berlin’s September 20 contest remains more fragmented, with AfD polling around 18 percent behind the CDU, Left, and Greens. These patterns align with trader consensus favoring AfD topping two of the three state parliaments, driven by sustained eastern support and limited coalition options for mainstream parties under the firewall policy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan