Emmanuel Macron's second presidential term, which began in May 2022, runs until May 2027 under France's two-term limit, after which he has publicly confirmed he will exit politics entirely. Persistent legislative gridlock stemming from the 2024 snap elections has produced a fragmented National Assembly, repeated no-confidence votes, and multiple prime ministerial changes through 2025, yet Macron has repeatedly pledged to complete his mandate amid these pressures. No constitutional mechanisms or recent events have triggered early departure, and trader pricing on early-exit timelines remains minimal, reflecting the absence of viable pathways or announced intentions before mid-2026. Upcoming parliamentary sessions and any further government instability could test this equilibrium, though historical precedent favors incumbents serving full terms absent acute personal or institutional crises.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2,015,948 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
30 Juni 2026
<1%
$2,015,948 Vol.
30 Juni 2026
$424,103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron's second presidential term, which began in May 2022, runs until May 2027 under France's two-term limit, after which he has publicly confirmed he will exit politics entirely. Persistent legislative gridlock stemming from the 2024 snap elections has produced a fragmented National Assembly, repeated no-confidence votes, and multiple prime ministerial changes through 2025, yet Macron has repeatedly pledged to complete his mandate amid these pressures. No constitutional mechanisms or recent events have triggered early departure, and trader pricing on early-exit timelines remains minimal, reflecting the absence of viable pathways or announced intentions before mid-2026. Upcoming parliamentary sessions and any further government instability could test this equilibrium, though historical precedent favors incumbents serving full terms absent acute personal or institutional crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$2,015,948Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron's second presidential term, which began in May 2022, runs until May 2027 under France's two-term limit, after which he has publicly confirmed he will exit politics entirely. Persistent legislative gridlock stemming from the 2024 snap elections has produced a fragmented National Assembly, repeated no-confidence votes, and multiple prime ministerial changes through 2025, yet Macron has repeatedly pledged to complete his mandate amid these pressures. No constitutional mechanisms or recent events have triggered early departure, and trader pricing on early-exit timelines remains minimal, reflecting the absence of viable pathways or announced intentions before mid-2026. Upcoming parliamentary sessions and any further government instability could test this equilibrium, though historical precedent favors incumbents serving full terms absent acute personal or institutional crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,015,948Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Emmanuel Macron's second presidential term, which began in May 2022, runs until May 2027 under France's two-term limit, after which he has publicly confirmed he will exit politics entirely. Persistent legislative gridlock stemming from the 2024 snap elections has produced a fragmented National Assembly, repeated no-confidence votes, and multiple prime ministerial changes through 2025, yet Macron has repeatedly pledged to complete his mandate amid these pressures. No constitutional mechanisms or recent events have triggered early departure, and trader pricing on early-exit timelines remains minimal, reflecting the absence of viable pathways or announced intentions before mid-2026. Upcoming parliamentary sessions and any further government instability could test this equilibrium, though historical precedent favors incumbents serving full terms absent acute personal or institutional crises.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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