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icon for Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

icon for Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

BARU
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,910 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$856 Vol.

3%

December 31

$1,053 Vol.

15%

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,910
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements, including U.S. stakes in fields holding 65 billion barrels of reserves and rights to purchase output at cost, have driven trader focus on potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve inflows. The SPR stands near a 44-year low at roughly 290 million barrels after prior releases tied to supply disruptions. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism to exchange Venezuelan heavy, high-sulfur crude for U.S. light or medium grades compatible with SPR caverns, with White House comments pointing to possible deliveries as early as November. However, Venezuelan production ramp-up timelines, infrastructure constraints, and quality mismatches create substantial near-term hurdles, keeping market-implied odds sensitive to policy execution and upcoming energy data releases.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,910
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 14%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 14¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 2, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" adalah "December 31" di 14%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 14% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.