Texas's 19th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington. Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Kyle Rable is the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan index exceeding R+20 and decades of GOP dominance in general elections. Trader consensus reflects the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data showing Democratic viability, along with structural advantages for the Republican candidate in a low-turnout midterm environment. A national political shift, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though such factors have not emerged in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-19 House Election Winner
TX-19 House Election Winner
$16,607 Vol.
$16,607 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$16,607 Vol.
$16,607 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,588 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$14,019 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington. Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Kyle Rable is the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan index exceeding R+20 and decades of GOP dominance in general elections. Trader consensus reflects the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data showing Democratic viability, along with structural advantages for the Republican candidate in a low-turnout midterm environment. A national political shift, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though such factors have not emerged in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,607Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington. Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Kyle Rable is the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan index exceeding R+20 and decades of GOP dominance in general elections. Trader consensus reflects the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data showing Democratic viability, along with structural advantages for the Republican candidate in a low-turnout midterm environment. A national political shift, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though such factors have not emerged in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,607Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington. Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Kyle Rable is the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican due to the district's consistent partisan index exceeding R+20 and decades of GOP dominance in general elections. Trader consensus reflects the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data showing Democratic viability, along with structural advantages for the Republican candidate in a low-turnout midterm environment. A national political shift, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though such factors have not emerged in recent cycles.
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