Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui38.0–38.4 48%
38.5–38.9 28%
37.0–37.4 17.2%
37.5–37.9 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
6%
37.0–37.4
17%
37.5–37.9
21%
38.0–38.4
42%
38.5–38.9
28%
39.0+
14%
38.0–38.4 48%
38.5–38.9 28%
37.0–37.4 17.2%
37.5–37.9 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$67 Vol.
6%
37.0–37.4
$21 Vol.
17%
37.5–37.9
$331 Vol.
21%
38.0–38.4
$232 Vol.
42%
38.5–38.9
$1,213 Vol.
28%
39.0+
$201 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,065Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2,065Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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