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icon for Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

icon for Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,459 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$1,214 Vol.

1%

September 15

$1,030 Vol.

7%

September 30

$1,108 Vol.

12%

October 31

$106 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-Canada trade tensions have cooled prospects for an early in-person meeting between President Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.** Negotiations collapsed in late August 2026 after weeks of disputes over tariffs on autos, steel, aluminum, agriculture, digital content, and energy projects, with the US imposing 50% tariffs on select Canadian goods and Ottawa preparing retaliation. Carney described the US approach as a “miscalculation” and suspended talks, stressing Canada’s refusal to accept a subordinate economic role, while Trump criticized Canadian positions and signaled further measures. Informal contacts occurred at the June 2026 G7 summit without a formal bilateral session, and earlier 2025 White House meetings plus mid-August phone or virtual exchanges briefly paused new tariffs before the breakdown. With diplomatic momentum reduced and no scheduled high-level engagements announced through early September, trader consensus reflects limited near-term likelihood of a qualifying in-person meeting. Any verified bilateral encounter before market resolution dates would shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,459
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing US-Canada trade tensions have cooled prospects for an early in-person meeting between President Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.** Negotiations collapsed in late August 2026 after weeks of disputes over tariffs on autos, steel, aluminum, agriculture, digital content, and energy projects, with the US imposing 50% tariffs on select Canadian goods and Ottawa preparing retaliation. Carney described the US approach as a “miscalculation” and suspended talks, stressing Canada’s refusal to accept a subordinate economic role, while Trump criticized Canadian positions and signaled further measures. Informal contacts occurred at the June 2026 G7 summit without a formal bilateral session, and earlier 2025 White House meetings plus mid-August phone or virtual exchanges briefly paused new tariffs before the breakdown. With diplomatic momentum reduced and no scheduled high-level engagements announced through early September, trader consensus reflects limited near-term likelihood of a qualifying in-person meeting. Any verified bilateral encounter before market resolution dates would shift probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,459
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "October 31" di 51%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" adalah "October 31" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.