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icon for Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Kanada

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 89%

Brad Bradford 12%

John Tory <1%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Polymarket

$156,916 Vol.

Olivia Chow 89%

Brad Bradford 12%

John Tory <1%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Polymarket

$156,916 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$40,610 Vol.

89%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$40,848 Vol.

12%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$13,361 Vol.

1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$17,043 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$12,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$12,906 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$9,768 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$10,101 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election as the incumbent seeking a full term following her 2023 by-election victory. Recent polling from Liaison Strategies, Pallas Data, and others shows her at approximately 50% among decided and leaning voters, ahead of main challenger Brad Bradford at 39% and Chris Alexander at around 10%, with leads stable or widening since summer surveys. Key drivers include her established profile, voter familiarity, and opposition vote fragmentation, despite divided sentiment on the city's direction and priorities such as property taxes, affordability, and transit. Bradford has gained ground since John Tory's withdrawal but trails consistently, while minor candidates register negligible support. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these patterns, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and the limited time remaining for challengers to close the gap before advance voting begins in early October.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$156,916
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election as the incumbent seeking a full term following her 2023 by-election victory. Recent polling from Liaison Strategies, Pallas Data, and others shows her at approximately 50% among decided and leaning voters, ahead of main challenger Brad Bradford at 39% and Chris Alexander at around 10%, with leads stable or widening since summer surveys. Key drivers include her established profile, voter familiarity, and opposition vote fragmentation, despite divided sentiment on the city's direction and priorities such as property taxes, affordability, and transit. Bradford has gained ground since John Tory's withdrawal but trails consistently, while minor candidates register negligible support. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these patterns, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and the limited time remaining for challengers to close the gap before advance voting begins in early October.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$156,916
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Olivia Chow" di 89%, diikuti oleh "Brad Bradford" di 12%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 89¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $156.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Olivia Chow" di 89%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Brad Bradford" di 12%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Toronto Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.