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icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

55-64 40%

45-54 28%

Under 45 22%

75-84 10%

Polymarket
BARU

55-64 40%

45-54 28%

Under 45 22%

75-84 10%

Polymarket
BARU

Under 45

$45 Vol.

22%

45-54

$50 Vol.

28%

55-64

$64 Vol.

40%

65-74

$27 Vol.

4%

75-84

$5 Vol.

10%

85+

$5 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee’s age centers on the 55-64 bracket at 40 percent, followed by 45-54 at 28 percent and under 45 at 21.5 percent.** This positioning reflects the profiles of leading speculated contenders, including Gavin Newsom (age ~61), Kamala Harris (~64), Gretchen Whitmer (~57), Josh Shapiro (~55), and Pete Buttigieg (~46) during the election cycle. Early national polls frequently place Harris or Buttigieg near the top, while prediction markets highlight Newsom alongside rising younger names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (~39) and Jon Ossoff (~41). Recent primary calendar adjustments favoring South Carolina and ongoing midterms have kept the field wide open, with no formal declarations yet. Discussions of generational turnover after successive older presidents have lifted probabilities for candidates under 55, though structural factors like name recognition and fundraising continue to favor those in their mid-50s to mid-60s.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$195
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. **Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee’s age centers on the 55-64 bracket at 40 percent, followed by 45-54 at 28 percent and under 45 at 21.5 percent.** This positioning reflects the profiles of leading speculated contenders, including Gavin Newsom (age ~61), Kamala Harris (~64), Gretchen Whitmer (~57), Josh Shapiro (~55), and Pete Buttigieg (~46) during the election cycle. Early national polls frequently place Harris or Buttigieg near the top, while prediction markets highlight Newsom alongside rising younger names such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (~39) and Jon Ossoff (~41). Recent primary calendar adjustments favoring South Carolina and ongoing midterms have kept the field wide open, with no formal declarations yet. Discussions of generational turnover after successive older presidents have lifted probabilities for candidates under 55, though structural factors like name recognition and fundraising continue to favor those in their mid-50s to mid-60s.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$195
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "55-64" di 40%, diikuti oleh "45-54" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 40¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" adalah "55-64" di 40%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "45-54" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.