**Recent low-volume stretches and weekend posting patterns position the 40-64 bracket as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability.** Settled Polymarket periods ending in early September frequently resolved in the 40-64 or sub-40 ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that has cooled from 2025 peaks toward roughly 25–40 posts per day on average. Weekend windows often see reduced output tied to fewer business or platform announcements, supporting trader consensus around moderate totals for Sept. 14–16. Higher brackets like 65–89 (23.0%) or sub-40 (20.5%) remain live alternatives if activity spikes from Tesla or AI-related developments or stays unusually quiet. No major scheduled catalysts align with the window, leaving recent settlement data as the dominant input shaping current odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 52%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
<40
21%
40-64
52%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
1%
40-64 52%
65-89 23%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
<40
$35 Vol.
21%
40-64
$84 Vol.
52%
65-89
$51 Vol.
23%
90-114
$70 Vol.
5%
115-139
$300 Vol.
1%
140-164
$432 Vol.
1%
165-189
$432 Vol.
1%
190-214
$12 Vol.
1%
215-239
$20 Vol.
<1%
240+
$120 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent low-volume stretches and weekend posting patterns position the 40-64 bracket as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability.** Settled Polymarket periods ending in early September frequently resolved in the 40-64 or sub-40 ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that has cooled from 2025 peaks toward roughly 25–40 posts per day on average. Weekend windows often see reduced output tied to fewer business or platform announcements, supporting trader consensus around moderate totals for Sept. 14–16. Higher brackets like 65–89 (23.0%) or sub-40 (20.5%) remain live alternatives if activity spikes from Tesla or AI-related developments or stays unusually quiet. No major scheduled catalysts align with the window, leaving recent settlement data as the dominant input shaping current odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,556Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent low-volume stretches and weekend posting patterns position the 40-64 bracket as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability.** Settled Polymarket periods ending in early September frequently resolved in the 40-64 or sub-40 ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that has cooled from 2025 peaks toward roughly 25–40 posts per day on average. Weekend windows often see reduced output tied to fewer business or platform announcements, supporting trader consensus around moderate totals for Sept. 14–16. Higher brackets like 65–89 (23.0%) or sub-40 (20.5%) remain live alternatives if activity spikes from Tesla or AI-related developments or stays unusually quiet. No major scheduled catalysts align with the window, leaving recent settlement data as the dominant input shaping current odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,556Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent low-volume stretches and weekend posting patterns position the 40-64 bracket as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability.** Settled Polymarket periods ending in early September frequently resolved in the 40-64 or sub-40 ranges, reflecting Musk’s variable cadence that has cooled from 2025 peaks toward roughly 25–40 posts per day on average. Weekend windows often see reduced output tied to fewer business or platform announcements, supporting trader consensus around moderate totals for Sept. 14–16. Higher brackets like 65–89 (23.0%) or sub-40 (20.5%) remain live alternatives if activity spikes from Tesla or AI-related developments or stays unusually quiet. No major scheduled catalysts align with the window, leaving recent settlement data as the dominant input shaping current odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan