Traders assign a 98% implied probability to "No" for Jesus Christ's return before 2027 because the short remaining window—roughly six months from mid-2026—lacks any verifiable precursors, fulfilled prophecies, or global events that align with traditional end-times narratives in Christian theology. Historical patterns of unfulfilled predictions reinforce skepticism, as markets reward empirical outcomes over faith-based speculation, and no credible signals from religious authorities, astronomical phenomena, or geopolitical shifts have emerged to alter that view. The consensus reflects skin-in-the-game realism that such a transcendent event would require extraordinary, observable developments unlikely in this compressed timeframe. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, such as an unforeseen worldwide crisis rapidly interpreted by believers as the trigger, though even then resolution would hinge on unambiguous confirmation before the deadline.