USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case of New World screwworm on June 3, 2026, with 37 domestic cases reported across Texas and New Mexico by July 31 as the parasite spreads northward from Mexico. Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster declarations since January 2026, including expansions after the June detections, have heightened federal attention, though no nationwide emergency declaration has occurred. CDC data show zero domestically acquired human cases and very low public risk, while sterile insect technique programs and enhanced surveillance remain central to containment. Key upcoming factors include USDA model updates on spread risk, additional trap results, and any Secretary-level announcements that could trigger broader federal emergency authorities. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between contained livestock impact and the potential for rapid escalation if cases cross state lines or intensify.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
BARU
Jan 1, 2027
August 30
50%
October 31
39%
December 31
46%
$1,412 Vol.
August 30
$30 Vol.
50%
October 31
$0 Vol.
39%
December 31
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case of New World screwworm on June 3, 2026, with 37 domestic cases reported across Texas and New Mexico by July 31 as the parasite spreads northward from Mexico. Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster declarations since January 2026, including expansions after the June detections, have heightened federal attention, though no nationwide emergency declaration has occurred. CDC data show zero domestically acquired human cases and very low public risk, while sterile insect technique programs and enhanced surveillance remain central to containment. Key upcoming factors include USDA model updates on spread risk, additional trap results, and any Secretary-level announcements that could trigger broader federal emergency authorities. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between contained livestock impact and the potential for rapid escalation if cases cross state lines or intensify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,412Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case of New World screwworm on June 3, 2026, with 37 domestic cases reported across Texas and New Mexico by July 31 as the parasite spreads northward from Mexico. Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster declarations since January 2026, including expansions after the June detections, have heightened federal attention, though no nationwide emergency declaration has occurred. CDC data show zero domestically acquired human cases and very low public risk, while sterile insect technique programs and enhanced surveillance remain central to containment. Key upcoming factors include USDA model updates on spread risk, additional trap results, and any Secretary-level announcements that could trigger broader federal emergency authorities. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between contained livestock impact and the potential for rapid escalation if cases cross state lines or intensify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,412Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case of New World screwworm on June 3, 2026, with 37 domestic cases reported across Texas and New Mexico by July 31 as the parasite spreads northward from Mexico. Governor Abbott’s repeated statewide disaster declarations since January 2026, including expansions after the June detections, have heightened federal attention, though no nationwide emergency declaration has occurred. CDC data show zero domestically acquired human cases and very low public risk, while sterile insect technique programs and enhanced surveillance remain central to containment. Key upcoming factors include USDA model updates on spread risk, additional trap results, and any Secretary-level announcements that could trigger broader federal emergency authorities. Trader sentiment reflects the balance between contained livestock impact and the potential for rapid escalation if cases cross state lines or intensify.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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