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Politik·São Tomé And Príncipe

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politik·São Tomé And Príncipe

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

Carlos Vila Nova 99.9%

Nito Abreu <1%

Nino Monteiro <1%

Elsa Pinto <1%

Polymarket

$41,190 Vol.

Carlos Vila Nova 99.9%

Nito Abreu <1%

Nino Monteiro <1%

Elsa Pinto <1%

Polymarket

$41,190 Vol.

icon for Carlos Vila Nova

Carlos Vila Nova

$29,772 Vol.

100%

icon for Nito Abreu

Nito Abreu

$9,197 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nino Monteiro

Nino Monteiro

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elsa Pinto

Elsa Pinto

$867 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Bom Jesus

Jorge Bom Jesus

$753 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volume
$41,190
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volume
$41,190
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

Terkait

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Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

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Apakah Flávio Bolsonaro akan finis di tempat kedua pada putaran pertama pemilihan presiden Brasil 2026?

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Ya
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Carlos Vila Nova" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Nito Abreu" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" telah menghasilkan $41.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 2, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" adalah "Carlos Vila Nova" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Nito Abreu" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.