The Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in the statutory election date of October 27 under Israeli law—the first such scheduled vote since 1988. Coalition leaders, including Ofir Katz and Speaker Amir Ohana, along with Knesset legal adviser Sagit Afik, publicly affirmed this timetable in July after earlier May dissolution efforts tied to coalition disputes over military exemptions and other legislation were set aside. With the campaign now underway, party lists due by early September, and no subsequent moves to alter the calendar, trader consensus reflects the absence of procedural or political triggers for delay. Upcoming milestones such as overseas voting on October 20 further anchor expectations around the fixed date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFor the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17, 2026, locking in the statutory election date of October 27 under Israeli law—the first such scheduled vote since 1988. Coalition leaders, including Ofir Katz and Speaker Amir Ohana, along with Knesset legal adviser Sagit Afik, publicly affirmed this timetable in July after earlier May dissolution efforts tied to coalition disputes over military exemptions and other legislation were set aside. With the campaign now underway, party lists due by early September, and no subsequent moves to alter the calendar, trader consensus reflects the absence of procedural or political triggers for delay. Upcoming milestones such as overseas voting on October 20 further anchor expectations around the fixed date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan