Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia leading comfortably ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People trailing in the low-to-mid teens or below, creating a tight contest for fourth place among these systemic parties. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has removed one potential contender and may redirect limited protest votes. New People’s spring criticism of mobile internet restrictions coincided with polling gains, while LDPR and A Just Russia – For Truth maintain steady but lower support. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, single-mandate district results and turnout patterns among undecided voters could determine final order and shift implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNew People (NL) 45%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 34%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 10%
Rodina 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
New People (NL)
45%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
34%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
9%
Rodina
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%
United Russia (ER)
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
New People (NL) 45%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 34%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 10%
Rodina 2.8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
New People (NL)
$1,624 Vol.
45%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$352 Vol.
34%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$475 Vol.
9%
Rodina
$83 Vol.
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$217 Vol.
2%
United Russia (ER)
$187 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$590 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia leading comfortably ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People trailing in the low-to-mid teens or below, creating a tight contest for fourth place among these systemic parties. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has removed one potential contender and may redirect limited protest votes. New People’s spring criticism of mobile internet restrictions coincided with polling gains, while LDPR and A Just Russia – For Truth maintain steady but lower support. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, single-mandate district results and turnout patterns among undecided voters could determine final order and shift implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volume
$3,529Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia leading comfortably ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People trailing in the low-to-mid teens or below, creating a tight contest for fourth place among these systemic parties. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has removed one potential contender and may redirect limited protest votes. New People’s spring criticism of mobile internet restrictions coincided with polling gains, while LDPR and A Just Russia – For Truth maintain steady but lower support. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, single-mandate district results and turnout patterns among undecided voters could determine final order and shift implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,529Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia leading comfortably ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People trailing in the low-to-mid teens or below, creating a tight contest for fourth place among these systemic parties. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko from the party-list ballot has removed one potential contender and may redirect limited protest votes. New People’s spring criticism of mobile internet restrictions coincided with polling gains, while LDPR and A Just Russia – For Truth maintain steady but lower support. With voting scheduled for 18–20 September, single-mandate district results and turnout patterns among undecided voters could determine final order and shift implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
56%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
99%
Ya
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan