Skip to main content
icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Pemilihan Umum·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Pemilihan Umum·Main Election

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.5%

Siniša Karan 3.8%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

Željka Cvijanović 87%

Marinko Božović 5.5%

Siniša Karan 3.8%

Branko Blanuša 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,076 Vol.

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$27,074 Vol.

87%

icon for Marinko Božović

Marinko Božović

$300 Vol.

5%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,410 Vol.

4%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,068 Vol.

2%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$1,286 Vol.

1%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$939 Vol.

1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds an 87% implied probability as the leading candidate for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency in the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting SNSD party dominance in Republika Srpska and her incumbency since 2022. The ruling Alliance of Independent Social Democrats secured her nomination amid ongoing entity-level influence, while opposition efforts to consolidate behind figures such as Marinko Božović of the SDS and Nebojša Vukanović produced only fragmented support. Recent certification of candidate lists by the Central Election Commission confirmed the field, with no major shifts from snap RS presidential voting or coalition realignments altering the balance. Traders assign single-digit odds to challengers due to SNSD’s organizational edge and historical voting patterns in entity-wide contests.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,076
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds an 87% implied probability as the leading candidate for the Serb seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency in the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting SNSD party dominance in Republika Srpska and her incumbency since 2022. The ruling Alliance of Independent Social Democrats secured her nomination amid ongoing entity-level influence, while opposition efforts to consolidate behind figures such as Marinko Božović of the SDS and Nebojša Vukanović produced only fragmented support. Recent certification of candidate lists by the Central Election Commission confirmed the field, with no major shifts from snap RS presidential voting or coalition realignments altering the balance. Traders assign single-digit odds to challengers due to SNSD’s organizational edge and historical voting patterns in entity-wide contests.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,076
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

54%
icon for Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

71%
icon for Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?

21%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Željka Cvijanović" di 87%, diikuti oleh "Marinko Božović" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 87¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" telah menghasilkan $32.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 12, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" adalah "Željka Cvijanović" di 87%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marinko Božović" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.