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icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
Politik·Primer

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
Politik·Primer

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

Pappas 30–35% 98.4%

Pappas 35–40% 2.8%

Pappas 20–25% 2.6%

Pappas 15–20% 2.6%

Polymarket

$6,161 Vol.

Pappas 30–35% 98.4%

Pappas 35–40% 2.8%

Pappas 20–25% 2.6%

Pappas 15–20% 2.6%

Polymarket

$6,161 Vol.

icon for Pappas 40%+

Pappas 40%+

$1,739 Vol.

2%

icon for Pappas 35–40%

Pappas 35–40%

$305 Vol.

3%

icon for Pappas 30–35%

Pappas 30–35%

$470 Vol.

98%

icon for Pappas 25–30%

Pappas 25–30%

$359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pappas 20–25%

Pappas 20–25%

$671 Vol.

3%

icon for Pappas 15–20%

Pappas 15–20%

$787 Vol.

3%

icon for Pappas 10–15%

Pappas 10–15%

$411 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pappas 5–10%

Pappas 5–10%

$384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pappas 0–5%

Pappas 0–5%

$422 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manzur 0–5%

Manzur 0–5%

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manzur 5%+

Manzur 5%+

$250 Vol.

<1%

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$6,161
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 62-65% of the vote against progressive challenger Karishma Manzur, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s leading outcome. Strong establishment backing, including endorsements from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and other party figures, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, helped Pappas maintain broad support among primary voters. Manzur’s campaign, focused on progressive priorities and criticism of Israel policy, mobilized a notable share of the vote but fell short of closing the gap. With results now projected and largely consistent across reporting, trader consensus reflects limited scope for material revision absent final certification anomalies or recount developments.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volume
$6,161
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?

25%
icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?

21%
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 0%-5%?

22%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Pappas 30–35%" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Pappas 40%+" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 1, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" adalah "Pappas 30–35%" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Pappas 40%+" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.