Current meteorological forecasts for Incheon on August 7 point to a daily minimum near 27–28°C, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under mostly clear skies with light easterly flow. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows hover around 24–26°C but recent model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show limited overnight drops due to warm advection and high humidity. Traders have priced 28°C as the modal outcome at 59% implied probability because forecast guidance has stabilized in this narrow band ahead of the observation window, with only modest uncertainty from possible localized marine influence or timing of any weak frontal passage. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
28°C 59%
27°C 29%
29°C 11%
26°C 2%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
29%
28°C
59%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 59%
27°C 29%
29°C 11%
26°C 2%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
29%
28°C
59%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Incheon on August 7 point to a daily minimum near 27–28°C, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under mostly clear skies with light easterly flow. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows hover around 24–26°C but recent model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show limited overnight drops due to warm advection and high humidity. Traders have priced 28°C as the modal outcome at 59% implied probability because forecast guidance has stabilized in this narrow band ahead of the observation window, with only modest uncertainty from possible localized marine influence or timing of any weak frontal passage. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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