**A cooler air mass and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies after recent heat are positioning the 11–13°C range as the market favorite for Paris’s August 7 minimum.** Météo-France guidance highlights a temporary cooldown on August 6–7, with morning lows near 17°C on the 6th giving way to calmer conditions and clearer overnight skies on the 7th that favor temperatures dropping several degrees below the August climatological average of ~14–15°C. Model consensus points to light winds and limited cloud cover overnight, allowing efficient heat loss from the urban surface while steering patterns limit warmer southerly flow. Traders have priced the highest probability (46%) at 12°C, followed by 13°C (25%) and 11°C (18.5%), reflecting the latest forecast runs that show the potential for a brief dip into the low teens rather than a return to the warmer 15–17°C regime seen earlier in the month. Resolution depends on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent Météo-France stations; fresh model updates or any unexpected increase in low-level moisture could shift odds toward slightly higher values before the night of the 6th–7th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 7?
12°C 45%
13°C 24%
11°C 19%
15°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
45%
13°C
24%
14°C
8%
15°C
9%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
12°C 45%
13°C 24%
11°C 19%
15°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 7, 2026
9°C or below
$151 Vol.
1%
10°C
$89 Vol.
4%
11°C
$115 Vol.
19%
12°C
$345 Vol.
45%
13°C
$170 Vol.
24%
14°C
$51 Vol.
8%
15°C
$553 Vol.
9%
16°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,103 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,167 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$1,050 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A cooler air mass and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies after recent heat are positioning the 11–13°C range as the market favorite for Paris’s August 7 minimum.** Météo-France guidance highlights a temporary cooldown on August 6–7, with morning lows near 17°C on the 6th giving way to calmer conditions and clearer overnight skies on the 7th that favor temperatures dropping several degrees below the August climatological average of ~14–15°C. Model consensus points to light winds and limited cloud cover overnight, allowing efficient heat loss from the urban surface while steering patterns limit warmer southerly flow.
Traders have priced the highest probability (46%) at 12°C, followed by 13°C (25%) and 11°C (18.5%), reflecting the latest forecast runs that show the potential for a brief dip into the low teens rather than a return to the warmer 15–17°C regime seen earlier in the month. Resolution depends on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent Météo-France stations; fresh model updates or any unexpected increase in low-level moisture could shift odds toward slightly higher values before the night of the 6th–7th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,110Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A cooler air mass and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies after recent heat are positioning the 11–13°C range as the market favorite for Paris’s August 7 minimum.** Météo-France guidance highlights a temporary cooldown on August 6–7, with morning lows near 17°C on the 6th giving way to calmer conditions and clearer overnight skies on the 7th that favor temperatures dropping several degrees below the August climatological average of ~14–15°C. Model consensus points to light winds and limited cloud cover overnight, allowing efficient heat loss from the urban surface while steering patterns limit warmer southerly flow.
Traders have priced the highest probability (46%) at 12°C, followed by 13°C (25%) and 11°C (18.5%), reflecting the latest forecast runs that show the potential for a brief dip into the low teens rather than a return to the warmer 15–17°C regime seen earlier in the month. Resolution depends on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent Météo-France stations; fresh model updates or any unexpected increase in low-level moisture could shift odds toward slightly higher values before the night of the 6th–7th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,110Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A cooler air mass and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under clearing skies after recent heat are positioning the 11–13°C range as the market favorite for Paris’s August 7 minimum.** Météo-France guidance highlights a temporary cooldown on August 6–7, with morning lows near 17°C on the 6th giving way to calmer conditions and clearer overnight skies on the 7th that favor temperatures dropping several degrees below the August climatological average of ~14–15°C. Model consensus points to light winds and limited cloud cover overnight, allowing efficient heat loss from the urban surface while steering patterns limit warmer southerly flow. Traders have priced the highest probability (46%) at 12°C, followed by 13°C (25%) and 11°C (18.5%), reflecting the latest forecast runs that show the potential for a brief dip into the low teens rather than a return to the warmer 15–17°C regime seen earlier in the month. Resolution depends on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent Météo-France stations; fresh model updates or any unexpected increase in low-level moisture could shift odds toward slightly higher values before the night of the 6th–7th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan