Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8, 2026, project a minimum temperature of 27°C under generally clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and low rain probability, aligning with recent overnight readings near 27°C and model consensus from regional agencies. This strong consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied odds for 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology where minima rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected nocturnal cooling from heavier localized showers or a rapid wind veer, though current data and short-term model runs show limited scope for such outcomes before daily minimum resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
27°C 98.6%
26°C 2%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,125 Vol.
$19,125 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98.6%
26°C 2%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,125 Vol.
$19,125 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
22°C or below
$901 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$968 Vol.
1%
24°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,482 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,747 Vol.
2%
27°C
$8,215 Vol.
99%
28°C
$3,410 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8, 2026, project a minimum temperature of 27°C under generally clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and low rain probability, aligning with recent overnight readings near 27°C and model consensus from regional agencies. This strong consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied odds for 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology where minima rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected nocturnal cooling from heavier localized showers or a rapid wind veer, though current data and short-term model runs show limited scope for such outcomes before daily minimum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$19,125Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8, 2026, project a minimum temperature of 27°C under generally clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and low rain probability, aligning with recent overnight readings near 27°C and model consensus from regional agencies. This strong consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied odds for 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology where minima rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected nocturnal cooling from heavier localized showers or a rapid wind veer, though current data and short-term model runs show limited scope for such outcomes before daily minimum resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,125Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 8, 2026, project a minimum temperature of 27°C under generally clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and low rain probability, aligning with recent overnight readings near 27°C and model consensus from regional agencies. This strong consensus underpins the 98.5% market-implied odds for 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of stable subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology where minima rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require unexpected nocturnal cooling from heavier localized showers or a rapid wind veer, though current data and short-term model runs show limited scope for such outcomes before daily minimum resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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