President Lee Jae-myung, elected in the June 2025 snap election after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party of Korea supermajority support in the National Assembly. This structural advantage makes passage of any impeachment motion by the required two-thirds threshold highly improbable before 2027. Isolated citizen petitions calling for his removal over pending legal cases have surfaced but lack the legislative backing needed to advance. Although approval ratings have declined into the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over housing policy and local election results, no sustained opposition campaign or institutional trigger has emerged to alter the balance. Traders therefore price the low probability of success for any impeachment effort through the end of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
8% peluang
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% peluang
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung, elected in the June 2025 snap election after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party of Korea supermajority support in the National Assembly. This structural advantage makes passage of any impeachment motion by the required two-thirds threshold highly improbable before 2027. Isolated citizen petitions calling for his removal over pending legal cases have surfaced but lack the legislative backing needed to advance. Although approval ratings have declined into the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over housing policy and local election results, no sustained opposition campaign or institutional trigger has emerged to alter the balance. Traders therefore price the low probability of success for any impeachment effort through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$20,368Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung, elected in the June 2025 snap election after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party of Korea supermajority support in the National Assembly. This structural advantage makes passage of any impeachment motion by the required two-thirds threshold highly improbable before 2027. Isolated citizen petitions calling for his removal over pending legal cases have surfaced but lack the legislative backing needed to advance. Although approval ratings have declined into the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over housing policy and local election results, no sustained opposition campaign or institutional trigger has emerged to alter the balance. Traders therefore price the low probability of success for any impeachment effort through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$20,368Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung, elected in the June 2025 snap election after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal, holds office with Democratic Party of Korea supermajority support in the National Assembly. This structural advantage makes passage of any impeachment motion by the required two-thirds threshold highly improbable before 2027. Isolated citizen petitions calling for his removal over pending legal cases have surfaced but lack the legislative backing needed to advance. Although approval ratings have declined into the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over housing policy and local election results, no sustained opposition campaign or institutional trigger has emerged to alter the balance. Traders therefore price the low probability of success for any impeachment effort through the end of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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