**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that shields sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have suspended his ongoing trials—including the election-law case remanded by the Supreme Court—citing this protection, with proceedings effectively paused into 2026. Multiple pre-presidency cases remain unresolved but inactive while he holds office, and no new arrests, active warrants, or prosecutorial moves targeting him have emerged since inauguration. This legal framework and the lack of recent escalations underpin trader expectations that arrest before 2027 is improbable, though outcomes could shift if immunity is challenged or new charges outside its scope arise.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
9% peluang
$538,080 Vol.
$538,080 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
9% peluang
$538,080 Vol.
$538,080 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that shields sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have suspended his ongoing trials—including the election-law case remanded by the Supreme Court—citing this protection, with proceedings effectively paused into 2026. Multiple pre-presidency cases remain unresolved but inactive while he holds office, and no new arrests, active warrants, or prosecutorial moves targeting him have emerged since inauguration.
This legal framework and the lack of recent escalations underpin trader expectations that arrest before 2027 is improbable, though outcomes could shift if immunity is challenged or new charges outside its scope arise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$538,080Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that shields sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have suspended his ongoing trials—including the election-law case remanded by the Supreme Court—citing this protection, with proceedings effectively paused into 2026. Multiple pre-presidency cases remain unresolved but inactive while he holds office, and no new arrests, active warrants, or prosecutorial moves targeting him have emerged since inauguration.
This legal framework and the lack of recent escalations underpin trader expectations that arrest before 2027 is improbable, though outcomes could shift if immunity is challenged or new charges outside its scope arise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$538,080Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that shields sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have suspended his ongoing trials—including the election-law case remanded by the Supreme Court—citing this protection, with proceedings effectively paused into 2026. Multiple pre-presidency cases remain unresolved but inactive while he holds office, and no new arrests, active warrants, or prosecutorial moves targeting him have emerged since inauguration. This legal framework and the lack of recent escalations underpin trader expectations that arrest before 2027 is improbable, though outcomes could shift if immunity is challenged or new charges outside its scope arise.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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