Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the KY-02 nomination with 85% in the May 19 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+20 Partisan Voter Index. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and statewide races, combined with Guthrie’s long tenure and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield faces structural headwinds in west-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green and Owensboro. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local controversy remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$11,985 Vol.
$11,985 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$11,985 Vol.
$11,985 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$6,022 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,963 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the KY-02 nomination with 85% in the May 19 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+20 Partisan Voter Index. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and statewide races, combined with Guthrie’s long tenure and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield faces structural headwinds in west-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green and Owensboro. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local controversy remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$11,985Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the KY-02 nomination with 85% in the May 19 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+20 Partisan Voter Index. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and statewide races, combined with Guthrie’s long tenure and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield faces structural headwinds in west-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green and Owensboro. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local controversy remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,985Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the KY-02 nomination with 85% in the May 19 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+20 Partisan Voter Index. The seat’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and statewide races, combined with Guthrie’s long tenure and substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield faces structural headwinds in west-central Kentucky, including Bowling Green and Owensboro. Late developments such as an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local controversy remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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